黑料社 Overcomes Last Major Hurdle to Deliver Scalable Universal Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computers by 2029
June 26, 2025
Quantum computing companies are poised to exceed $1 billion in revenues by the close of 2025, to McKinsey & Company, underscoring how today鈥檚 quantum computers are already delivering customer value in their current phase of development.
This figure is projected to reach upwards of $37 billion by 2030, rising in parallel with escalating demand, as well as with the scale of the machines and the complexity of problem sets of which they will be able to address. 聽
Several systems on the market today are fault-tolerant by design, meaning they are capable of suppressing error-causing noise to yield reliable calculations. However, the full potential of quantum computing to tackle problems of true industrial relevance, in areas like medicine, energy, and finance, remains contingent on an architecture that supports a fully fault-tolerant universal gate set with repeatable error correction鈥攁 capability that, until now, has eluded the industry. 聽
黑料社 is the first鈥攁nd only鈥攃ompany to achieve this critical technical breakthrough, universally recognized as the essential precursor to scalable, industrial-scale quantum computing. This milestone provides us with the most de-risked development roadmap in the industry and positions us to fulfill our promise to deliver our universal, fully fault-tolerant quantum computer, Apollo, by 2029.
In this regard, 黑料社 is the first company to step from the so-called 鈥淣ISQ鈥 (noisy intermediate-scale quantum) era towards utility-scale quantum computers.
Unpacking our achievement: first, a 鈥榝ull鈥 primer
A quantum computer uses operations called gates to process information in ways that even today鈥檚 fastest supercomputers cannot. The industry typically refers to two types of gates for quantum computers:
Clifford gates, which can be easily simulated by classical computers, and are relatively easy to implement; and
Non-Clifford gates, which are usually harder to implement, but are required to enable true quantum computation (when combined with their siblings).
A system that can run both gates is classified as and has the machinery to tackle the widest range of problems. Without non-Clifford gates, a quantum computer is non-universal and restricted to smaller, easier sets of tasks - and it can always be simulated by classical computers. This is like painting with a full palette of primary colors, versus only having one or two to work with. Simply put, a quantum computer that cannot implement 鈥榥on-Clifford鈥 gates is not really a quantum computer.
A fault-tolerant, or error-corrected, quantum computer detects and correctsits ownerrors (or faults) to produce reliable results. 黑料社 has the best and brightest scientists dedicated to keeping our systems鈥 error rates the lowest in the world.
For a quantum computer to be fully fault-tolerant, every operation must be error-resilient, across Clifford gates and non-Clifford gates, and thus, performing 鈥渁 full gate set鈥 with error correction. While some groups have performed fully fault-tolerant gate sets in academic settings, these demonstrations were done with only a few qubits and 鈥攖oo high for any practical use.
Today, we have published that establishes 黑料社 as the first company to develop a complete solution for a universal fully fault-tolerant quantum computer with repeatable error correction, and error rates low enough for real-world applications.
This is where the magic happens
The describes how scientists at 黑料社 used our System Model H1-1 to perfect magic state production, a crucial technique for achieving a fully fault-tolerant universal gate set. In doing so, they set a record magic state infidelity (7x10-5), 10x better than any .
Our simulations show that our system could reach a magic state infidelity of 10^-10, or about one error per 10 billion operations, on a larger-scale computer with our currentphysical error rate. We anticipate reaching 10^-14, or about one error per 100 trillion operations, as we continue to advance our hardware. This means that our roadmap is now derisked.
Setting a record magic state infidelity was just the beginning. The paper also presents the first break-even two-qubit non-Clifford gate, demonstrating a logical error rate below the physical one. In doing so, the team set another record for two-qubit non-Clifford gate infidelity (2x10-4, almost 10x better than our physical error rate). Putting everything together, the team ran the first circuit that used a fully fault-tolerant universal gate set, a critical moment for our industry.
Flipping the switch
In the , co-authored with researchers at the University of California at Davis, we demonstrated an important technique for universal fault-tolerance called 鈥渃ode switching鈥.
Code switching describes switching between different error correcting codes. The team then used the technique to demonstrate the key ingredients for universal computation, this time using a code where we鈥檝e previously demonstrated full error correction and the other ingredients for universality.
In the process, the team set a new record for magic states in a distance-3 error correcting code, over 10x better than with error correction. Notably, this process only cost 28 qubits . This completes, for the first time, the ingredient list for a universal gate setin a system that also has real-time and repeatable QEC.
To perform "code switching", one can implement a logical gate between a 2D code and a 3D code, as pictured above. This type of advanced error correcting process requires 黑料社's reconfigurable connectivity.
Fully equipped for fault-tolerance
Innovations like those described in these two papers can reduce estimates for qubit requirements by an order of magnitude, or more, bringing powerful quantum applications within reach far sooner.
With all of the required pieces now, finally, in place, we are 鈥榝ully鈥 equipped to become the first company to perform universal fully fault-tolerant computing鈥攋ust in time for the arrival of Helios, our next generation system launching this year, and what is very likely to remain as the most powerful quantum computer on the market until the launch of its successor, Sol, arriving in 2027.
About 黑料社
黑料社,聽the world鈥檚 largest integrated quantum company, pioneers powerful quantum computers and advanced software solutions. 黑料社鈥檚 technology drives breakthroughs in materials discovery, cybersecurity, and next-gen quantum AI. With over 500 employees, including 370+ scientists and engineers, 黑料社 leads the quantum computing revolution across continents.聽
Blog
October 30, 2025
Scalable Quantum Error Detection
Typically, Quantum Error Detection (QED) is viewed as a short-term solution鈥攁 non-scalable, stop-gap until full fault tolerance is achieved at scale.
That鈥檚 just changed, thanks to a serendipitous discovery made by our team. Now, QED can be used in a much wider context than previously thought. Our team made this discovery while studying the contact process, which describes things like how diseases spread or how water permeates porous materials. In particular, our team was studying the quantum contact process (QCP), a problem they had tackled before, which helps physicists understand things like phase transitions. In the process (pun intended), they came across what senior advanced physicist, Eli Chertkov, described as 鈥渁 surprising result.鈥
While examining the problem, the team realized that they could convert detected errors due to noisy hardware into random resets, a key part of the QCP, thus avoiding the exponentially costly overhead of post-selection normally expected in QED.
To understand this better, the team developed a new protocol in which the encoded, or logical, quantum circuit adapts to the noise generated by the quantum computer. They quickly realized that this method could be used to explore other classes of random circuits similar to the ones they were already studying.
The team put it all together on System Model H2 to run a complex simulation, and were surprised to find that they were able to achieve near break-even results, where the logically encoded circuit performed as well as its physical analog, thanks to their clever application of QED. 聽Ultimately, this new protocol will allow QED codes to be used in a scalable way, saving considerable computational resources compared to full quantum error correction (QEC).
Researchers at the crossroads of quantum information, quantum simulation, and many-body physics will take interest in this protocol and use it as a springboard for inventing new use cases for QED.
Stay tuned for more, our team always has new tricks up their sleeves.
When will quantum computers outperform classical ones?
This question has hovered over the field for decades, shaping billion-dollar investments and driving scientific debate.
The question has more meaning in context, as the answer depends on the problem at hand. We already have estimates of the quantum computing resources needed for Shor鈥檚 algorithm, which has a superpolynomial advantage for integer factoring over the best-known classical methods, threatening cryptographic protocols. Quantum simulation allows one to glean insights into exotic materials and chemical processes that classical machines struggle to capture, especially when strong correlations are present. But even within these examples, estimates change surprisingly often, carving years off expected timelines. And outside these famous cases, the map to quantum advantage is surprisingly hazy.
Researchers at 黑料社 have taken a fresh step toward drawing this map. In a new theoretical framework, Harry Buhrman, Niklas Galke, and Konstantinos Meichanetzidis introduce the concept of 鈥渜ueasy instances鈥 (quantum easy) 鈥 problem instances that are comparatively easy for quantum computers but appear difficult for classical ones.
From Problem Classes to Problem Instances
Traditionally, computer scientists classify problems according to their worst-case difficulty. Consider the problem of Boolean satisfiability, or SAT, where one is given a set of variables (each can be assigned a 0 or a 1) and a set of constraints and must decide whether there exists a variable assignment that satisfies all the constraints. SAT is a canonical NP-complete problem, and so in the worst case, both classical and quantum algorithms are expected to perform badly, which means that the runtime scales exponentially with the number of variables. On the other hand, factoring is believed to be easier for quantum computers than for classical ones. But real-world computing doesn鈥檛 deal only in worst cases. Some instances of SAT are trivial; others are nightmares. The same is true for optimization problems in finance, chemistry, or logistics. What if quantum computers have an advantage not across all instances, but only for specific 鈥減ockets鈥 of hard instances? This could be very valuable, but worst-case analysis is oblivious to this and declares that there is no quantum advantage.
To make that idea precise, the researchers turned to a tool from theoretical computer science: Kolmogorov complexity. This is a way of measuring how 鈥渞egular鈥 a string of bits is, based on the length of the shortest program that generates it. A simple string like 0000000000 can be described by a tiny program (鈥減rint ten zeros鈥), while the description of a program that generates a random string exhibiting no pattern is as long as the string itself. From there, the notion of instance complexity was developed: instead of asking 鈥渉ow hard is it to describe this string?鈥, we ask 鈥渉ow hard is it to solve this particular problem instance (represented by a string)?鈥 For a given SAT formula, for example, its polynomial-time instance complexity is the size of the smallest program that runs in polynomial time and decides whether the formula is satisfiable. This smallest program must be consistently answering all other instances, and it is also allowed to declare 鈥淚 don鈥檛 know鈥.
In their new work, the team extends this idea into the quantum realm by defining polynomial-time quantum instance complexity as the size of the shortest quantum program that solves a given instance and runs on polynomial time. This makes it possible to directly compare quantum and classical effort, in terms of program description length, on the very same problem instance. If the quantum description is significantly shorter than the classical one, that problem instance is one the researchers call 鈥渜耻别补蝉测鈥: quantum-easy and classically hard. These queasy instances are the precise places where quantum computers offer a provable advantage 鈥 and one that may be overlooked under a worst-case analysis.
Why 鈥淨ueasy鈥?
The playful name captures the imbalance between classical and quantum effort. A queasy instance is one that makes classical algorithms struggle, i.e. their shortest descriptions of efficient programs that decide them are long and unwieldy, while a quantum computer can handle the same instance with a much simpler, faster, and shorter program. In other words, these instances make classical computers 鈥渜ueasy,鈥 while quantum ones solve them efficiently and finding them quantum-easy. The key point of these definitions lies in demonstrating that they yield reasonable results for well-known optimisation problems.
By carefully analysing a mapping from the problem of integer factoring to SAT (which is possible because factoring is inside NP and SAT is NP-complete) the researchers prove that there exist infinitely many queasy SAT instances. SAT is one of the most central and well-studied problems in computer science that finds numerous applications in the real-world. The significant realisation that this theoretical framework highlights is that SAT is not expected to yield a blanket quantum advantage, but within it lie islands of queasiness 鈥 special cases where quantum algorithms decisively win.
Algorithmic Utility
Finding a queasy instance is exciting in itself, but there is more to this story. Surprisingly, within the new framework it is demonstrated that when a quantum algorithm solves a queasy instance, it does much more than solve that single case. Because the program that solves it is so compact, the same program can provably solve an exponentially large set of other instances, as well. Interestingly, the size of this set depends exponentially on the queasiness of the instance!
Think of it like discovering a special shortcut through a maze. Once you鈥檝e found the trick, it doesn鈥檛 just solve that one path, but reveals a pattern that helps you solve many other similarly built mazes, too (even if not optimally). This property is called algorithmic utility, and it means that queasy instances are not isolated curiosities. Each one can open a doorway to a whole corridor with other doors, behind which quantum advantage might lie.
A North Star for the Field
Queasy instances are more than a mathematical curiosity; this is a new framework that provides a language for quantum advantage. Even though the quantities defined in the paper are theoretical, involving Turing machines and viewing programs as abstract bitstrings, they can be approximated in practice by taking an experimental and engineering approach. This work serves as a foundation for pursuing quantum advantage by targeting problem instances and proving that in principle this can be a fruitful endeavour.
The researchers see a parallel with the rise of machine learning. The idea of neural networks existed for decades along with small scale analogue and digital implementations, but only when GPUs enabled large-scale trial and error did they explode into practical use. Quantum computing, they suggest, is on the cusp of its own heuristic era. 鈥净耻谤颈蝉迟颈肠蝉鈥 will be prominent in finding queasy instances, which have the right structure so that classical methods struggle but quantum algorithms can exploit, to eventually arrive at solutions to typical real-world problems. After all, quantum computing is well-suited for small-data big-compute problems, and our framework employs the concepts to quantify that; instance complexity captures both their size and the amount of compute required to solve them.
Most importantly, queasy instances shift the conversation. Instead of asking the broad question of when quantum computers will surpass classical ones, we can now rigorously ask where they do. The queasy framework provides a language and a compass for navigating the rugged and jagged computational landscape, pointing researchers, engineers, and industries toward quantum advantage.
From September 16th 鈥 18th, (QWC) brought together visionaries, policymakers, researchers, investors, and students from across the globe to discuss the future of quantum computing in Tysons, Virginia.
黑料社 is forging the path to universal, fully fault-tolerant quantum computing with our integrated full-stack. With our quantum experts were on site, we showcased the latest on 黑料社 Systems, the world鈥檚 highest-performing, commercially available quantum computers, our new software stack featuring the key additions of Guppy and Selene, our path to error correction, and more.
Highlights from QWC
Dr. Patty Lee Named the Industry Pioneer in Quantum
The Quantum Leadership Awards celebrate visionaries transforming quantum science into global impact. This year at QWC, Dr. Patty Lee, our Chief Scientist for Hardware Technology Development, was named the Industry Pioneer in Quantum! This honor celebrates her more than two decades of leadership in quantum computing and her pivotal role advancing the world鈥檚 leading trapped-ion systems. .
Keynote with 黑料社's CEO,聽Dr. Rajeeb聽Hazra
At QWC 2024, 黑料社鈥檚 President & CEO, Dr. Rajeeb 鈥淩aj鈥 Hazra, took the stage to showcase our commitment to advancing quantum technologies through the unveiling of our roadmap to universal, fully fault-tolerant quantum computing by the end of this decade. This year at QWC 2025, Raj shared the progress we鈥檝e made over the last year in advancing quantum computing on both commercial and technical fronts and exciting insights on what鈥檚 to come from 黑料社. .
Panel Session:聽Policy Priorities for Responsible Quantum and AI
As part of the Track Sessions on Government & Security, 黑料社鈥檚 Director of Government Relations, Ryan McKenney, discussed 鈥淧olicy Priorities for Responsible Quantum and AI鈥 with Jim Cook from Actions to Impact Strategies and Paul Stimers from Quantum Industry Coalition.
Fireside Chat:聽Establishing a Pro-Innovation Regulatory Framework
During the Track Session on Industry Advancement, 黑料社鈥檚 Chief Legal Officer, Kaniah Konkoly-Thege,聽and Director of Government Relations, Ryan McKenney, discussed the importance of 鈥淓stablishing a Pro-Innovation Regulatory Framework鈥.